
1861 Capital is an investment firm based in New York.
1861 Capital funds are focused on opportunities in the municipal bond sector.
The dearth of supply around the holiday season and the roll-down in the yield curve (ex. 15-year bonds becoming 14-year bonds at lower yields) helped propel the market forward. Additionally, January 1st was a heavy re-investment date (many bonds were called, matured, or had coupon payments that were re-invested back in the market).
1861 Capital Definition of Municipal Bonds and Municipal Bond Losses
Municipal bonds have been around for a long time. Even before 1861. Historically municipal debt predates corporate debt by several centuries: the early Renaissance Italian city-states borrowed money from major banking families. Borrowing by American cities dates to the seventeenth century; records of U.S. municipal bonds indicate use around the early 1800’s, even 1861. The first recorded municipal bond, a general obligation bond was issued by the City of New York for a canal in 1812. During the 1840’s, many U.S. cities were in debt; roughly by 1843 cities had about 25 million in outstanding debt. Over thenext few decades as the US expanded, there was a huge increase in the amount of municipal debt.
Years after the civil war, significant local debt was issued to build railroads. Railroads were private corporations and these bonds were very similar to today’s industrial revenue bonds. Construction costs in 1873 for one of the largest transcontinental railroads, the northern pacific closed down access to new capital.
The largest bank of the country, which was owned by the same investor as by Northern Pacific, collapsed. Investors had losses. Smaller firms followed suit as well as the stock market. The 1873 panic and years of depression that followed put an abrupt but temporary halt to the rapid growth of municipal debt. There were many losses during this period. From this period to the Great Depression, municipal bond issuance grew at at rapid pace. The losses on municipal bonds were not as great as the 1870's.
In addition to the 50 states and their local governments (including cities, counties, villages and school districts), the District of Columbia and U.S. territories and possessions (American samoa, the commonwealth of Puerto Rico, Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, and the U.S. virgin Islands) can and do issue municipal bonds. Another important category of municipal bond issuers includes authorities and special districts, which have grown in number and variety in recent years.
The two most prominent early authorities were the Port of New York Authority, formed in 1921 and renamed Port Authority of New York and New Jersey in 1972, and the Triborough Bridge Authority (now the Triborough Bridge and Tunnel Authority), formed in 1933. The debt issues of these two authorities are exempt from federal, state and local government’s taxes.
In economics and finance, arbitrage is the practice of taking advantage of a price difference between two or more markets: striking a combination of matching deals that capitalize upon the imbalance, the profit being the difference between the market prices. In municipal arbitrage, the difference relates to the two yield curves, the municipal yield curve and the taxable yield curve. In theory, losses on one yield curve should be offset by gains on another yield curve. In practice investors can have gains in both and losses in both municipal arbitrage yield curves. The municipal bond arbitrage strategy uses leverage and complex hedging techniques. There are many risks to understand. Municipal bond arbitrage is a hedge fund strategy and should not be compared to owning traditional muncipal bonds. The use of leverage can magnify lossess and gains
About 1861 Capital
Over October, 30-year Treasury bond rates rose 22 basis points to 3.13% and 30-year MMD rates rose 20 basis points to 3.75%. Long-term new issue supply was $35 billion, down 23% from October of 2010 when many Build America bonds were being rushed to market. Refunding and combined refunding/new money issuance was roughly flat from last October, while new money issuance was down by 38%. October's issuance was the heaviest monthly issuance so far this year. This type of volume has been about average over the last several years before this year.
Additionally, secondary trading volume for the third quarter of 2011 reached $851 billion, up substantially from earlier this year though still down 8.5% from the third quarter of last year. Anecdotally, it felt like most of this secondary trading was of newly issued bonds while more seasoned issues were mostly ignored. This can be a normal process when the muni market has to digest a large new issue calendar. We would expect that when we see the end of the year in sight and issuance starts to decline, we’ll see more liquidity and focus on older issues.
S&P recently reported that defaults of muni bonds are down 69% for year-to-date 2011 from the same period last year. S&P reports that there were about $2.4 billion of new municipal bond defaults (excluding technical defaults) during the first three quarters of this year. Cumulatively, S&P is following 199 outstanding defaulted municipal bonds representing a par amount of just over one-half percent of its index.
1861 Capital is an ivestment firm based in New York. The firm provides investors with a variety of investment strategies all which involve municipal bonds. Many use leverage and hedging techniques to the risks are substantially greater than owning long only municipals. The use of leverage can magnify gains and losses.