About 1861 Capital

Over October, 30-year Treasury bond rates rose 22 basis points to 3.13% and 30-year MMD rates rose 20 basis points to 3.75%. Long-term new issue supply was $35 billion, down 23% from October of 2010 when many Build America bonds were being rushed to market. Refunding and combined refunding/new money issuance was roughly flat from last October, while new money issuance was down by 38%. October's issuance was the heaviest monthly issuance so far this year. This type of volume has been about average over the last several years before this year.

Additionally, secondary trading volume for the third quarter of 2011 reached $851 billion, up substantially from earlier this year though still down 8.5% from the third quarter of last year. Anecdotally, it felt like most of this secondary trading was of newly issued bonds while more seasoned issues were mostly ignored. This can be a normal process when the muni market has to digest a large new issue calendar. We would expect that when we see the end of the year in sight and issuance starts to decline, we’ll see more liquidity and focus on older issues.

S&P recently reported that defaults of muni bonds are down 69% for year-to-date 2011 from the same period last year. S&P reports that there were about $2.4 billion of new municipal bond defaults (excluding technical defaults) during the first three quarters of this year. Cumulatively, S&P is following 199 outstanding defaulted municipal bonds representing a par amount of just over one-half percent of its index.

1861 Capital is an ivestment firm based in New York. The firm provides investors with a variety of investment strategies all which involve municipal bonds. Many use leverage and hedging techniques to the risks are substantially greater than owning long only municipals. The use of leverage can magnify gains and losses.

Contact Us: info@1861capital.com